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Etoile de L'Est vs Kiyovu

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
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Match Events

7' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Etoile de L'Est and Kiyovu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile de L'Est.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Etoile de L'Est
15%
Draws
59%
Kiyovu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kiyovu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de L'Est Kiyovu
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.67 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Kiyovu
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Etoile de L'Est
6:1
May 23, 2022 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Etoile de L'Est
1:1
Jan 19, 2022 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Kiyovu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de L'Est 28 / 100
Kiyovu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de L'Est Kiyovu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiyovu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Etoile de L'Est found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Kiyovu let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Etoile de L'Est stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de L'Est VS Kiyovu
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de L'Est

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
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Kiyovu

(Away)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)