Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harksheide in this Oberliga Hamburg matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harksheide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ETSV Hamburg
15%
Draws
34%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Harksheide haven't matched ETSV Hamburg's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ETSV Hamburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 16%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Harksheide
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 3.28 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
11:0
Oct 10, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg
1:6
Dec 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 48 / 100
Harksheide 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Harksheide let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Harksheide has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Harksheide
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
Page 1 of 6

Harksheide

(Away)
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
30 Aug
Teutonia Ottensen
0 : 0
Harksheide
21 Aug
Harksheide
1 : 3
Dassendorf
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
Page 1 of 7