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Europa FC vs Mons Calpe Prediction & H2H Stats

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026 Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
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AI Match Summary

Europa FC in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Europa FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Europa FC
30%
Draws
41%
Mons Calpe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mons Calpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mons Calpe have won more games recently than Europa FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Europa FC Clean Sheet 14%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Europa FC Mons Calpe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.73 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 National League
Europa FC vs Mons Calpe
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League
Europa FC vs Mons Calpe
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 National League
Europa FC vs Mons Calpe
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Europa FC
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Gibraltar Cup
Mons Calpe vs Europa FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Europa FC 35 / 100
Mons Calpe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Europa FC Mons Calpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Calpe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Europa FC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mons Calpe let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Europa FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Europa FC VS Mons Calpe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Europa FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
05 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 1
Magpies
30 Aug
Europa Point
0 : 2
Europa FC
22 Aug
Europa FC
2 : 2
Glacis United
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Mons Calpe

(Away)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 27 23 3 1 89:17 72
2 St Josephs 27 20 3 4 96:17 63
3 Europa FC 27 18 2 7 54:20 56
4 Mons Calpe 27 18 1 8 66:35 55
5 Lions Gibraltar 27 13 4 10 53:44 43
6 Lynx 27 10 4 13 38:45 34
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)