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Evesham vs Bideford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Sat, Dec 5, 2020
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Lucas J.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Turner R.
1' Event
Lucas J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Evesham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Evesham
15%
Draws
39%
Bideford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Evesham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Evesham are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Evesham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Evesham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Evesham Clean Sheet 16%
Bideford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Bideford
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2020 FA Trophy
Evesham vs Bideford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bideford Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 48 / 100
Bideford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Bideford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bideford has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Evesham scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Evesham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Bideford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 7

Bideford

(Away)
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
28 Jul
Taunton Town
3 : 2
Bideford
04 Oct
Dorchester
4 : 0
Bideford
20 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 2
Bideford
06 Sept
Bideford
3 : 1
Mousehole
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Welwyn Garden 3
Hednesford 1
Margate -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
Evesham 2
Bideford 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
TBD -
Royston Town 3
Tamworth 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stamford 2
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Nantwich 3
Workington 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Neots 3
Kings Langley 1
Ashton United 2
South Shields 1
TBD -
York City -
Kettering -
TBD -
Marlow 1
Nuneaton 4
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
TBD -
Grantham Town 3
St Ives Town 4
St. Albans -
TBD -
Uxbridge 1
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Marske United 3
Warrington Town 1
Marine 1
Hyde 0
TBD -
Southport -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Aveley 1
Hastings 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Salisbury 0
Bracknell Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Morpeth 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Truro 5
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Haringey Borough 2
Stortford 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Dorchester 2
Carshalton 3
Barking 0
Hitchin 3
Mickleover 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Peterborough Sports 5
Basford Utd. 5
Rushall 0
Leatherhead 0
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 2
Coleshill Town 5
Matlock 2
TBD -
Telford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Enfield Town 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Thame United 2
Bognor Regis 5
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Needham Market 2
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Lowestoft 0
Cheshunt 3
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Hornchurch 4
Wingate & Finchley 1
Alfreton -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Poole Town 3
Willand Rovers 1
North Leigh 0
Frome Town 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
1/64-finals
Welwyn Garden 2
Burgess Hill 1
TBD -
Aldershot -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Gateshead 2
Farsley 3
Evesham 0
Boston United 3
Curzon Ashton 1
AFC Fylde 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Brackley 3
Royston Town 2
Stamford 1
Kidderminster 0
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion 2
Nantwich 5
Hereford 3
Neots 0
Ashton United 4
York City 3
Kettering 5
Nuneaton 1
Wrexham -
TBD -
Leamington 5
St Ives Town 0
St. Albans 3
Cray Wanderers 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet 2
Chippenham Town 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Hemel Hempstead 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Spennymoor 6
Marske United 2
Marine 0
Southport 1
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Aveley 1
Chesham 3
TBD -
Torquay -
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Billericay 1
Braintree 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
Chester 3
Bradford PA 1
Stockport County -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans -
Morpeth -
TBD -
Notts County -
Welling 0
Oxford City 2
Concord Rangers 1
Truro 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Haringey Borough 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Bath City 3
Chelmsford 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Carshalton 0
Hitchin 0
Peterborough Sports 4
Basford Utd. 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Darlington FC 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Coleshill Town 1
Telford 10
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bognor Regis 1
Gloucester City 4
Needham Market 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Cheshunt 1
Tonbridge 0
Hornchurch 1
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Maidstone 2
Poole Town 0
Frome Town -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dorking Wanderers 2
Hungerford 0
TBD -
Barnet -
1/32-finals
Welwyn Garden 1
Aldershot 5
Solihull Moors 4
Farsley 0
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 1
Chesterfield 1
Brackley 0
Stamford -
TBD -
Nantwich 0
Hereford 1
Ashton United 1
Kettering 2
Wrexham 0
Leamington 1
St. Albans 0
Sutton 2
Dagenham & Red. 5
Ebbsfleet 2
Bromley 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Dover Ath. 1
Halifax 4
Hartlepool 3
Spennymoor 2
Southport 3
Boreham Wood 3
Yeovil 0
Chesham 0
Torquay 1
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Braintree 0
Altrincham 2
Chester 1
Stockport County 3
Guiseley 1
Morpeth 0
Notts County 3
Oxford City -
Truro -
Dartford 0
Haringey Borough 1
Bath City 4
Swindon Supermarine 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Basford Utd. 2
Weymouth 3
Maidenhead 2
Darlington FC 3
Telford 2
Wealdstone 4
Eastleigh 3
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Gloucester City 7
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hornchurch 2
Alfreton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Maidstone -
Frome Town -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Barnet 1
1/16-finals
Aldershot 3
Solihull Moors 2
Boston United 1
Chesterfield 2
Stamford 0
Hereford 2
Kettering 0
Leamington 3
Sutton 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Bromley 1
Woking 2
Halifax 1
Southport 2
Boreham Wood 0
Torquay 4
Havant & Waterlooville -
Altrincham -
Stockport County 1
Notts County 2
Oxford City 4
Haringey Borough 2
Bath City 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Weymouth 0
Darlington FC 1
Wealdstone 3
Gloucester City 1
Hornchurch 2
King’s Lynn 1
Maidstone 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
1/8-finals
Aldershot -
Chesterfield -
Hereford 1
Leamington 0
Sutton 0
Woking 1
Southport 0
Torquay 2
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Notts County 3
Oxford City 2
Peterborough Sports 0
Darlington FC 4
Wealdstone 1
Hornchurch 5
Maidstone 4
Quarter-finals
Aldershot 1
Hereford 2
Woking 1
Torquay 0
Notts County 3
Oxford City 1
Darlington FC 1
Hornchurch 2
Semi-finals
Hereford 1
Woking 0
Notts County 3
Hornchurch 4
Final
Hereford 1
Hornchurch 3