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Evesham vs Chichester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bojang J.
40' Event
Liggett B.
47' Event
Liggett B.

AI Match Summary

Evesham in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Evesham
15%
Draws
64%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Evesham haven't matched Chichester City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chichester City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Chichester City
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Chichester City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Liggett B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bojang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chichester City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 10 / 100
Chichester City 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chichester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chichester City conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Evesham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Chichester City
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3
Yate
07 Nov
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Evesham
03 Nov
Chippenham Town
4 : 2
Evesham
31 Oct
Evesham
3 : 2
Bracknell Town
24 Oct
Evesham
0 : 4
Halesowen
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
10 Nov
Chertsey Town
2 : 1
Chichester City
07 Nov
Chichester City
2 : 1
Bath City
31 Oct
Frome Town
2 : 3
Chichester City
27 Oct
Chichester City
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
24 Oct
Gosport Borough
0 : 2
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)