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Evesham vs Chichester City

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bojang J.
40' Event
Liggett B.
47' Event
Liggett B.

AI Match Summary

Evesham in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Evesham
20%
Draws
40%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Evesham haven't matched Chichester City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Evesham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Chichester City
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Chichester City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Liggett B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bojang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chichester City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 47 / 100
Chichester City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chichester City conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Evesham's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Chichester City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2
Evesham
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
05 Sept
Broadfields United
1 : 4
Chichester City
31 Aug
Chichester City
3 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)