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Evesham vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ollis J.
68' Event
Ollis J.
75' Event
Cartwright L.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Evesham and Yate finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Evesham
30%
Draws
47%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Yate haven't matched Evesham's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Yate taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Evesham Clean Sheet 11%
Yate Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Yate
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Yate
0:3
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Evesham
3:0
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Yate
0:1
Feb 28, 2009 Southern Premier League
Yate vs Evesham
0:1
Sep 20, 2008 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Yate
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Ollis J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cartwright L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 10 / 100
Yate 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evesham found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Yate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Evesham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Yate
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3
Yate
07 Nov
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Evesham
03 Nov
Chippenham Town
4 : 2
Evesham
31 Oct
Evesham
3 : 2
Bracknell Town
24 Oct
Evesham
0 : 4
Halesowen
Page 1 of 7

Yate

(Away)
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3
Yate
07 Nov
Yate
1 : 1
Gloucester City
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Yate
27 Oct
Yate
0 : 0
Wimborne
20 Oct
Yate
1 : 1
Sholing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)