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Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Utrecht

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jan 10, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior Maassluis host Jong Utrecht in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Jong Utrecht have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Excelsior Maassluis have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor Excelsior Maassluis slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.06, favoring Excelsior Maassluis. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Excelsior Maassluis
20%
Draws
28%
Jong Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior Maassluis lately — more wins on the board than Jong Utrecht.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Jong Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Utrecht
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Jong Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Jong Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Utrecht let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Excelsior Maassluis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Excelsior Maassluis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Jong Utrecht
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
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Jong Utrecht

(Away)
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1
Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
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