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Excelsior Maassluis vs Marseille

World World

Club Friendly 2025 KNVB Sportcentrum, Zeist
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Medina F.
28' Event
Greenwood M.
34' Event
Greenwood M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Excelsior Maassluis and Marseille finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior Maassluis
15%
Draws
0%
Marseille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior Maassluis come out ahead of Marseille on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 16%
Marseille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Marseille
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Excelsior Maassluis vs Marseille
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Greenwood M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Medina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 84 / 100
Marseille 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Marseille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Excelsior Maassluis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marseille's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Marseille
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
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Marseille

(Away)
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
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