Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
Sat, Jun 6, 2026
3 - 1
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ringeling K.
Assist: Madi A.
26'
Sub
Assendelft J. In: Koppenol S.
Out: Assendelft J.
42' Event
Tavares Q.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Excelsior Maassluis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Excelsior Maassluis
15%
Draws
51%
Rijnvogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijnvogels come out ahead of Excelsior Maassluis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rijnvogels's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Rijnvogels arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior Maassluis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Rijnvogels
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.64 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnvogels
3:1
Jun 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ringeling K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tavares Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rijnvogels Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Meer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 26 / 100
Rijnvogels 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Rijnvogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Rijnvogels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Excelsior Maassluis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Rijnvogels
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

Rijnvogels

(Away)
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 0
VV Bennekom
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 3
Lisse 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
IJsselmeervogels 5
Rijnvogels 3
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
VVSB 1
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Semi-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
IJsselmeervogels 8
Rijnvogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Final
IJsselmeervogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2