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Excelsior vs Sainte-Marienne

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
0%
Sainte-Marienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Sainte-Marienne.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Excelsior have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Sainte-Marienne
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 2.28 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2023 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Sainte-Marienne
6:0
Apr 2, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Excelsior
0:3
Aug 21, 2022 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
May 1, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Excelsior
0:0
Nov 18, 2020 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Excelsior
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Sainte-Marienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Sainte-Marienne registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sainte-Marienne has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Sainte-Marienne

(Away)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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