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Excelsior vs Telstar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior host Telstar in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Excelsior at 1.93 goals for, 1.86 against; Telstar at 1.7 for, 1.85 against. Head-to-head, Excelsior have won 2 to Telstar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Excelsior. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
49%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Telstar haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • Telstar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 15%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Telstar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Telstar
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Excelsior
2:2
Feb 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Excelsior
1:3
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Telstar
3:2
Apr 8, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Telstar
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 10 / 100
Telstar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Telstar let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Telstar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Telstar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
01 Nov
Excelsior
0 : 9
Twente
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

Telstar

(Away)
01 Nov
Telstar
4 : 2
Utrecht
27 Oct
Telstar
0 : 2
Almere City
23 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 2
Telstar
17 Oct
Telstar
3 : 4
Feyenoord
11 Oct
Telstar
2 : 2
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)