Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Excelsior host Telstar in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Excelsior at 1.93 goals for, 1.86 against; Telstar at 1.7 for, 1.85 against. Head-to-head, Excelsior have won 2 to Telstar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Excelsior. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Telstar haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
- Telstar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Telstar let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Telstar lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home)Telstar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | 2 |