Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Excelsior host Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Excelsior at 1.93 goals for, 1.5 against; Utrecht at 1.48 for, 1.62 against. Past meetings favor Utrecht slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (2.44 - 1.19) back Excelsior to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Excelsior average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Utrecht's 1.48.
- Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Utrecht has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Excelsior has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior
(Home)Utrecht
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 5 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 6 | Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 7 | Nijmegen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Twente | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Telstar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Willem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 17 | Utrecht | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:15 | 1 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 0 |