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Excelsior vs Utrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Excelsior Logo

Excelsior

1 - 2
FT
Utrecht Logo

Utrecht

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Stepanov A.
62'
Sub
Stepanov A. In: Cathline Y.
Out: Stepanov A.
62'
Sub
Blake A. In: van Duijn S.
Out: Blake A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Utrecht in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
65%
Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Utrecht have won more games recently than Excelsior.
  • Utrecht are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Utrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Utrecht
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Utrecht
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Excelsior
4:1
Jan 27, 2024 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Utrecht
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Excelsior
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Sliti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Wit D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 10 / 100
Utrecht 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Utrecht has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Excelsior has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Utrecht
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
01 Nov
Excelsior
0 : 9
Twente
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
Page 1 of 6

Utrecht

(Away)
01 Nov
Telstar
4 : 2
Utrecht
29 Oct
Kozakken Boys
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Oct
Utrecht
1 : 1
Zwolle
18 Oct
Twente
1 : 2
Utrecht
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28:10 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26:24 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20:26 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19:31 12
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16:28 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16:23 9
17 Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13:24 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)