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Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2024/2025
Exeter U21 Logo

Exeter U21

0 - 1
FT
Brentford U21 Logo

Brentford U21

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Holland I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Brentford U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Exeter U21
20%
Draws
51%
Brentford U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brentford U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Brentford U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brentford U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Brentford U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brentford U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Brentford U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Exeter U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brentford U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U21 Brentford U21
Matches Played 13 34
Wins 7 20
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.09
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2025 Premier League Cup
Brentford U21 vs Exeter U21
3:0
Sep 30, 2025 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Brentford U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Holland I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U21 26 / 100
Brentford U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U21 Brentford U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U21 scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Brentford U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Exeter U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brentford U21
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U21

(Home)
16 Dec
Exeter U21
1 : 2
West Brom U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
24 Nov
Brentford U21
3 : 0
Exeter U21
15 Oct
West Brom U21
0 : 0
Exeter U21
30 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 0
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 3

Brentford U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Brentford U21
13 Sept
Brentford U21
0 : 2
Everton U21
08 Sept
Hull City U21
1 : 1
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
21 Aug
Stoke City U21
2 : 3
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cardiff U21 1
West Brom U21 2
QPR U21 2
Leicester U21 0
Burnley U21 1
Sunderland U21 0
Chelsea U21 2
Ipswich U21 1
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Southampton U21 4
Charlton U21 7
Blackburn U21 0
Exeter U21 0
Brentford U21 1
Nottingham U21 2
Luton U21 0
Quarter-finals
West Brom U21 2
QPR U21 3
Burnley U21 2
Chelsea U21 0
Southampton U21 5
Charlton U21 3
Brentford U21 1
Nottingham U21 0
Semi-finals
QPR U21 2
Burnley U21 0
Southampton U21 0
Brentford U21 2
Final
QPR U21 3
Brentford U21 1