Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exmouth Town vs Plymouth Parkway

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Exmouth Town play Plymouth Parkway in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Exmouth Town averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Plymouth Parkway averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Exmouth Town won 0, Plymouth Parkway won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 8, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Exmouth Town and 1.24 for Plymouth Parkway. This points to a Plymouth Parkway double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Exmouth Town
15%
Draws
54%
Plymouth Parkway
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Exmouth Town picked up more points recently compared to Plymouth Parkway.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Exmouth Town Clean Sheet 19%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exmouth Town Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Exmouth Town vs Plymouth Parkway
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exmouth Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Steer L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Watts-Barciela J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garside C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exmouth Town 32 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exmouth Town Plymouth Parkway

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Parkway Win (2)
Secondary Pick Plymouth Parkway & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Exmouth Town attacking → ← attacking Plymouth Parkway

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exmouth Town scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Plymouth Parkway let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Exmouth Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth Parkway lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00