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Ezcabarte vs Murchante Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Ezcabarte Logo

Ezcabarte

2 - 1
FT
Murchante Logo

Murchante

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Ezcabarte and Murchante finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ezcabarte
30%
Draws
43%
Murchante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Ezcabarte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 27% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 20%
Murchante Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Murchante
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.58 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Ezcabarte
2:1
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Murchante
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 31 / 100
Murchante 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Murchante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Murchante has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ezcabarte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
Page 1 of 7

Murchante

(Away)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)