Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Basaksehir
Turkey
Turkish Cup Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul 
Match Events
8'
8'
Fayzullaev A.
Assist: Brnic I.
22'
22'
Shomurodov E.
26'
26'
Sub
Shomurodov E. In: Crespo M.
Out: Shomurodov E.
AI Match Summary
Basaksehir in this Turkish Cup tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- F. Karagumruk haven't matched Basaksehir's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Basaksehir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Basaksehir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 16%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Basaksehir
1:4
Jan 17, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Basaksehir
0:2
Jan 20, 2024 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Basaksehir
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Basaksehir vs F. Karagumruk
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Moussa Kone A. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Basaksehir Compare
Top Goalscorer Fayzullaev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shomurodov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 36 / 100
Basaksehir 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Basaksehir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Basaksehir conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
F. Karagumruk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Basaksehir
0.83 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 F. Karagumruk
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0 Genclerbirligi
27 Apr
Besiktas
0 : 0 F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0 Genclerbirligi
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2 Eyupspor
05 Apr
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Rizespor
13 Mar
F. Karagumruk
2 : 0 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 3
Basaksehir
(Away) 22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Inter Turku
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2 Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2 Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1 Basaksehir
06 Jul
Cracovia
3 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
