Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
2'
2'
Tarba Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Tarba Z. In: Kukharchuk I.
Out: Tarba Z.
54'
54'
Konovalov I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fakel Voronezh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chernomorets Novorossijsk haven't matched Fakel Voronezh's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fakel Voronezh's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Chernomorets Novorossijsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.71 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Fakel Voronezh
0:1
Aug 24, 2016 Russian Cup
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Fakel Voronezh
0:1
May 2, 2012 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:0
Aug 29, 2011 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 95 / 100
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Chernomorets Novorossijsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Novorossijsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Fakel Voronezh scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Fakel Voronezh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Chernomorets Novorossijsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 25 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
15 Jul
FK Rostov
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
11 Jul
Akron Togliatti
1 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
07 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
3 : 1 FK Rostov
16 May
Ulyanovsk
0 : 3 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
3 : 1 FK Rostov
08 May
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
03 May
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 0 Yenisey
22 Apr
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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Chernomorets Novorossijsk
(Away) 16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Page 1 of 6
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
18 Apr
Ufa
1 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
03 Apr
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
21 Mar
Kamaz
3 : 1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
