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Falcons vs Brera Ilch Prediction & H2H Stats

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Otgontsagaan S.
61' Event
Krusevac N.

AI Match Summary

Falcons in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Falcons
15%
Draws
21%
Brera Ilch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Falcons have won more games recently than Brera Ilch.
  • Falcons are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Falcons have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Falcons Clean Sheet 17%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcons Brera Ilch
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 3.37 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Falcons
2:5
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Falcons vs Brera Ilch
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Falcons
1:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Falcons vs Brera Ilch
6:1
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Falcons
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Otgontsagaan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krusevac N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Brera Ilch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcons 57 / 100
Brera Ilch 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcons Brera Ilch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcons scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Brera Ilch has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Solid form: Falcons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falcons VS Brera Ilch
3.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcons

(Home)
01 Nov
Falcons
3 : 1
Ezra
29 Oct
Falcons
0 : 2
Manila Digger
26 Oct
Svay Rieng
3 : 0
Falcons
12 Oct
Khovd
0 : 2
Falcons
07 Oct
Khoromkhon
0 : 7
Falcons
Page 1 of 6

Brera Ilch

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)