Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkenberg vs Norrkoping

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Hansson N.
63' Event
Lindberg O.
Assist: Nilsson M.
67'
Sub
Lif L. In: Prica T.
Out: Lif L.

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Falkenberg
39%
Draws
31%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norrkoping lately — more wins on the board than Falkenberg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 16%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Norrkoping
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping
1:0
Nov 23, 2020 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Falkenberg
4:1
Jul 26, 2020 Allsvenskan
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping
3:3
Mar 7, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Falkenberg
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Allsvenskan
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindberg O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Norrkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 30 / 100
Norrkoping 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Falkenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Norrkoping's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Norrkoping
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
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Norrkoping

(Away)
19 Jul
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Sandviken
28 Jun
Norrkoping
0 : 1
Norrby
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
09 Jun
Oddevold
1 : 2
Norrkoping
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)