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FAMF Marseille W vs Macon W

France France

Division 2 Women 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FAMF Marseille W play Macon W in the Division 2 Women 2012/2013. FAMF Marseille W are favorites here. Recently, FAMF Marseille W averaged 1.68 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. Macon W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, FAMF Marseille W won 3, Macon W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2016 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FAMF Marseille W and 1.44 for Macon W. This points to a FAMF Marseille W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
FAMF Marseille W
15%
Draws
22%
Macon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FAMF Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • FAMF Marseille W picked up more points recently compared to Macon W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FAMF Marseille W Clean Sheet 16%
Macon W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAMF Marseille W Macon W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Macon W vs FAMF Marseille W
2:4
Nov 22, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
FAMF Marseille W vs Macon W
2:4
Apr 14, 2013 Seconde Ligue Women
FAMF Marseille W vs Macon W
4:1
Nov 18, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Macon W vs FAMF Marseille W
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAMF Marseille W 60 / 100
Macon W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAMF Marseille W Macon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAMF Marseille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick FAMF Marseille W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FAMF Marseille W attacking → ← attacking Macon W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FAMF Marseille W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Macon W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

FAMF Marseille W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Macon W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 16
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Henin W20191082:1478
2Compiegne Club Oise W20113639:2656
3Rouen W2086627:2850
4Mars Bischheim W2093843:4350
5Metz W2086640:2550
6Dijon W2085738:3249
7Montigny-le-Bretonneux W20731032:3944
8Gravelines W20641033:4442
9Lille W20631134:5841
10Epinal AS W20431327:5535
11Amiens W20431325:5635
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Soyaux W22201170:1083
2La Roche W22164254:2374
3Le Mans W22170557:1573
4Conde-sur-Noireau W22106644:3658
5Orvault W221111031:2556
6Cormelles W22931032:4352
7Bordeaux W2285949:4251
8Quimper W22741130:4247
9Angers W22631330:5843
10Val d'Orge W22551227:5342
11ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W22441425:5438
12USC Corne W22022014:6224
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Muretaine W22182266:1778
2FAMF Marseille W22152558:2969
3Grenoble W22132748:3163
4Aurillac W22123745:3761
5Nivolas W22113842:2758
6Albi-Marssac W22103948:5055
7Veore Montoison W22103936:2755
8Monteux W22921137:3551
9Le Puy W22901341:5349
10Nimes W22651124:3645
11US Blanzy Foot W22331623:7334
12Macon W22121921:7427