Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Lawrence N.
31'
31'
Sutcliffe E.
36'
36'
Baker F.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Farnborough and Tonbridge finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tonbridge come out ahead of Farnborough on wins alone.
- Model gives Farnborough a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
1:6
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:4
Aug 26, 2024 National League South
Farnborough vs Tonbridge
0:2
Apr 1, 2024 National League South
Tonbridge vs Farnborough
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Lawrence N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutcliffe E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baker F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 34 / 100
Tonbridge 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Tonbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Farnborough found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Tonbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Farnborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Tonbridge
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
07 Jul
Ashford Town
0 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
18 Apr
Farnborough
1 : 6 Tonbridge
06 Apr
Farnborough
2 : 0 Horsham FC
Page 1 of 3
Tonbridge
(Away) 28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2 Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1 Dulwich Hamlet
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2 Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2 Sutton
11 Jul
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Farnborough
1 : 6 Tonbridge
06 Apr
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 1 Tonbridge
28 Mar
Chesham
1 : 0 Tonbridge
17 Mar
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1 Tonbridge
14 Mar
Horsham FC
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
