Sport Picks

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Farroupilha vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Segabinazzi D.
9' Event
Wendell
71' Event
Johann

AI Match Summary

GE Bage in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Farroupilha
33%
Draws
40%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GE Bage lately — more wins on the board than Farroupilha.
  • Model gives GE Bage a 40% chance of winning this.
  • GE Bage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor GE Bage, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 24%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha GE Bage
Matches Played 12 27
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs GE Bage
1:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Farroupilha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Segabinazzi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johann
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 29 / 100
GE Bage 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Farroupilha found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: GE Bage conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS GE Bage
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 0%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0
Farroupilha
21 May
Farroupilha
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 3

GE Bage

(Away)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)