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Farroupilha vs EC Cruzeiro

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019
Farroupilha Logo

Farroupilha

0 - 1
FT
EC Cruzeiro Logo

EC Cruzeiro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC Cruzeiro in this Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Cruzeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Farroupilha
15%
Draws
51%
EC Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Cruzeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Farroupilha at 0.75 per game, EC Cruzeiro at 0.63.
  • Farroupilha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
EC Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha EC Cruzeiro
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2019 Gaucho 2
EC Cruzeiro vs Farroupilha
0:0
Mar 10, 2019 Gaucho 2
Farroupilha vs EC Cruzeiro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 36 / 100
EC Cruzeiro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha EC Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Cruzeiro let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: EC Cruzeiro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Farroupilha scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS EC Cruzeiro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

EC Cruzeiro

(Away)
10 Jul
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
07 Jul
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 2
EC Cruzeiro
03 Jul
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 3
EC Cruzeiro
29 Jun
EC Cruzeiro
0 : 1
Veranopolis
23 Jun
GE Gloria
3 : 0
EC Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 14 7 4 3 13:10 25
2 EC Guarani 14 6 4 4 18:13 22
3 GE Bage 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
4 Lajeadense 14 4 8 2 12:10 20
5 Sao Gabriel 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
6 Inter Santa Maria 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
7 EC Cruzeiro 14 4 5 5 11:9 17
8 Farroupilha 14 1 4 9 10:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
2 GE Gloria 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
3 Igrejinha 14 5 6 3 14:12 21
4 Ypiranga FC 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 Passo Fundo 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 4 3 7 14:16 15
7 Tupi RS 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
8 AE Sao Borja 14 3 5 6 14:23 14
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)