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FAS vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
FAS Logo

FAS

1 - 0
FT
Aguila Logo

Aguila

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Clavel R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FAS in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FAS
30%
Draws
37%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • FAS have won more games recently than Aguila.
  • Win probability leans FAS's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FAS Clean Sheet 68%
Aguila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Aguila
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Aguila
1:0
May 24, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs FAS
0:3
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs FAS
3:0
Feb 1, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Aguila
3:0
Oct 23, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs FAS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Clavel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 50 / 100
Aguila 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FAS scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aguila has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FAS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS Aguila
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
19 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
FAS
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
30 Aug
FAS
3 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
26 Aug
Cartagines
2 : 0
FAS
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 10 6 2 2 18:9 20
2 Inter Santa Tecla 11 5 5 1 16:8 20
3 Metapan 11 6 2 3 15:10 20
4 Luis Angel Firpo 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
5 Municipal Limeno 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Aguila 11 3 5 3 16:14 14
7 Alianza FC 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
8 Atletico Balboa 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
9 Platense Municipal 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
10 Inca Aruba 11 3 2 6 8:20 11
11 Cacahuatique 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Fuerte San Francisco 10 1 3 6 6:17 6
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)