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FBC Melgar vs Cobresol

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012
FBC Melgar Logo

FBC Melgar

2 - 1
FT
Cobresol Logo

Cobresol

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
16' Event
79' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBC Melgar in this Primera Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBC Melgar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FBC Melgar
20%
Draws
22%
Cobresol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FBC Melgar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FBC Melgar have won more games recently than Cobresol.
  • Win probability leans FBC Melgar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 20%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar Cobresol
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.52 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2012 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Cobresol
2:1
Mar 18, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs FBC Melgar
0:2
Aug 21, 2011 Liga 1
Cobresol vs FBC Melgar
2:1
Mar 6, 2011 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Cobresol
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar 85 / 100
Cobresol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar Cobresol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBC Melgar scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Cobresol let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: FBC Melgar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar

(Home)
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 7

Cobresol

(Away)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 30 17 7 6 62:30 58
2 Cusco 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Cesar Vallejo 30 16 7 7 44:27 55
4 Ayacucho 30 13 6 11 32:29 45
5 Juan Aurich 30 13 6 11 37:39 45
6 Jose Galvez 30 12 9 9 30:34 45
7 Universitario de Deportes 30 11 10 9 40:37 42
8 FBC Melgar 30 11 8 11 35:34 41
9 Leon de Huanuco 30 10 10 10 42:32 40
10 Sport Huancayo 30 11 7 12 34:37 40
11 U. San Martin 30 10 8 12 33:38 38
12 Union Comercio 30 11 5 14 37:43 38
13 A. Lima 30 9 11 10 31:36 34
14 Cienciano 30 10 4 16 37:46 34
15 Sport Boys 30 5 11 14 25:40 26
16 Cobresol 30 3 6 21 22:56 11
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