Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBC Melgar W vs Killas W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FBC Melgar W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FBC Melgar W
15%
Draws
24%
Killas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FBC Melgar W have won more games recently than Killas W.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on FBC Melgar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FBC Melgar W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 17%
Killas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Killas W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Killas W
1:0
May 21, 2026 Liga Women
Killas W vs FBC Melgar W
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Women
Killas W vs FBC Melgar W
0:0
May 21, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Killas W
4:2
May 6, 2024 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Killas W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 84 / 100
Killas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Killas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Killas W conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

FBC Melgar W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FBC Melgar W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Killas W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
21 Aug
FBC Melgar W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
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Killas W

(Away)
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
11 Sept
Killas W
3 : 1
Defensores W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
29 Aug
Killas W
0 : 4
Sporting Cristal W
22 Aug
Yanapuma W
1 : 2
Killas W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima W 9 9 0 0 32:2 27
2 Universitario de Deportes W 9 7 1 1 43:7 22
3 FBC Melgar W 9 7 0 2 28:9 21
4 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 24:10 21
5 Atl. Andahuaylas W 9 4 2 3 11:12 14
6 Carlos Mannucci W 9 3 1 5 11:28 10
7 Killas W 9 3 0 6 7:20 9
8 Flamengo FBC W 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
9 Yanapuma W 9 2 0 7 12:32 6
10 Defensores W 9 2 0 7 8:36 6
11 UNSAAC W 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)