Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2016 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Kaunas play FK Panevezys in the I Lyga 2016. FK Panevezys are favorites here. Recently, FBK Kaunas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. FK Panevezys averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, FBK Kaunas won 0, FK Panevezys won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 9, 2016 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for FBK Kaunas and 1.18 for FK Panevezys. This points to a FK Panevezys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

FBK Kaunas

15%

Draws

71%

FK Panevezys

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FBK Kaunas picked up more points recently compared to FK Panevezys.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 20%

FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FBK Kaunas	FK Panevezys
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	15
Draws	1	4
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1.58
Goals Conceded	4.47	1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2016 I Lyga

FK Panevezys vs FBK Kaunas

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

7:0

Jun 18, 2016 I Lyga

FBK Kaunas vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:3

Sep 6, 2015 I Lyga

FBK Kaunas vs FK Panevezys

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 24, 2015 I Lyga

FK Panevezys vs FBK Kaunas

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Kaunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gedgaudas K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Savenas M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olberkis S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Kaunas 17 / 100

FK Panevezys 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FBK Kaunas FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)

Secondary Pick FK Panevezys & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FBK Kaunas attacking → ← attacking FK Panevezys

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Kaunas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

FK Panevezys let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

FBK Kaunas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marijampole City	30	23	3	4	95:25	72
2	Palanga	30	21	7	2	96:29	70
3	Vilniaus Vytis	30	19	3	8	102:34	60
4	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	17	9	4	76:38	60
5	FK Panevezys	30	17	8	5	68:35	59
6	Banga	30	15	7	8	62:31	52
7	Dziugas Telsiai	30	15	3	12	51:44	48
8	Zalgiris 2	30	14	3	13	62:61	45
9	Dainava Alytus	30	13	4	13	57:46	43
10	FC Hegelmann	30	13	3	14	55:56	42
11	Riteriai 2	30	9	3	18	44:59	30
12	Silute	30	8	6	16	38:60	30
13	FK Krazante Kelme	30	8	4	18	47:86	28
14	Lokomotyvas Radviliskis	30	6	5	19	42:86	23
15	FBK Kaunas	30	4	1	25	25:134	13
16	FK Minija	30	3	1	26	27:123	10