Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC 47 Bastendorf vs FC Orania Vianden

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Sun, Nov 10, 2024
3 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC 47 Bastendorf in this Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC 47 Bastendorf
6%
Draws
4%
FC Orania Vianden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC 47 Bastendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC 47 Bastendorf have won more games recently than FC Orania Vianden.
  • Model gives FC 47 Bastendorf a 90% chance of winning this.
  • FC 47 Bastendorf have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC 47 Bastendorf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC 47 Bastendorf Clean Sheet 10%
FC Orania Vianden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 47 Bastendorf FC Orania Vianden
Matches Played 12 11
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 4.13 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
FC 47 Bastendorf vs FC Orania Vianden
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 47 Bastendorf 83 / 100
FC Orania Vianden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 47 Bastendorf FC Orania Vianden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Orania Vianden has conceded goals in 100% of their last 11 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FC 47 Bastendorf scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

FC Orania Vianden lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC 47 Bastendorf VS FC Orania Vianden
1 Goals Scored 0.63
4.13 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC 47 Bastendorf

(Home)
12 Mar
FC 47 Bastendorf
1 : 4
Dudelange
10 Nov
FC 47 Bastendorf
3 : 1
FC Orania Vianden
05 Oct
FC 47 Bastendorf
3 : 2
Luxembourg City
30 Sept
FC 47 Bastendorf
0 : 1
Fola
04 Feb
Blo Weiss Medernach
2 : 1
FC 47 Bastendorf
Page 1 of 3

FC Orania Vianden

(Away)
10 Nov
FC 47 Bastendorf
3 : 1
FC Orania Vianden
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
01 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
0 : 2
Ettelbruck
03 Feb
US Feulen
4 : 2
FC Orania Vianden
03 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
0 : 4
FC Rodange 91
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen1
Bissen0
Echternach3
Ettelbruck2
The Belval Belvaux5
US Sandweiler0
Clemency0
Mondorf4
Oberkorn0
Racing Luxembourg1
Steinfort0
Hesperange3
Lorentzweiler0
Victoria Rosport2
US Moutfort/Medingen1
Bettembourg4
FC 47 Bastendorf3
Luxembourg City2
FC Orania Vianden4
Berdenia Berbourg3
Union Remich/Bous3
Koeppchen2
Syra Mensdorf2
Dudelange5
Jeunesse Junglinster2
US Feulen1
FC Schengen1
Hostert5
Union Tetange2
Avenir Beggen0
Blo Weiss Medernach0
UNA Strassen4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
FC Mamer1
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
Schifflange3
FC Ehlerange1
Fola3
Mertzig2
Union Titus Petange4
Pfaffenthal1
Kaerjeng2
Jeunesse Useldange1
FC Marisca Mersch3
Alliance Aischdall2
Alisontia Steinsel3
AS Colmar-Berg0
Differdange14
AS Luxembourg/Porto1
Jeunesse Canach2
Jeunesse Schieren1
FC Rodange 913
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette1
Mondercange6
Izeg0
Wiltz4
Diekirch1
FC Residence Walferdange2
Sporting Bertrange1
Jeunesse Esch7
US Folschette0
Rumelange6
Red Boys Aspelt0
Progres Niedercorn8
1/16-finals
Lintgen2
Echternach1
The Belval Belvaux1
Mondorf0
Racing Luxembourg2
Hesperange0
Victoria Rosport2
Bettembourg0
FC 47 Bastendorf3
FC Orania Vianden1
Union Remich/Bous2
Dudelange3
Jeunesse Junglinster2
Hostert4
Union Tetange0
UNA Strassen8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler1
Schifflange0
Fola1
Union Titus Petange3
Kaerjeng2
FC Marisca Mersch1
Alisontia Steinsel0
Differdange1
Jeunesse Canach2
FC Rodange 910
Mondercange1
Wiltz6
FC Residence Walferdange0
Jeunesse Esch1
Rumelange1
Progres Niedercorn3
1/8-finals
Lintgen2
The Belval Belvaux1
Racing Luxembourg3
Victoria Rosport1
FC 47 Bastendorf1
Dudelange4
Hostert1
UNA Strassen2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler2
Union Titus Petange7
Kaerjeng0
Differdange4
Jeunesse Canach1
Wiltz2
Jeunesse Esch0
Progres Niedercorn3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen0
Racing Luxembourg4
Dudelange4
UNA Strassen2
Union Titus Petange0
Differdange2
Wiltz3
Progres Niedercorn2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg2
Dudelange3
Differdange3
Wiltz0
Final
Dudelange2
Differdange3