Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Alliance vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
FC Alliance Logo

FC Alliance

1 - 0
FT
Legion Logo

Legion

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Miskov M.
45'
Gasinski D.
45' Event
Orlov M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Alliance and Legion finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Alliance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Alliance
20%
Draws
16%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legion come out ahead of FC Alliance on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Legion
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 3.43 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 3.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Legion
3:4
Sep 16, 2023 Esiliiga
Legion vs FC Alliance
1:1
Jun 10, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Legion
1:0
Apr 28, 2023 Esiliiga
Legion vs FC Alliance
1:0
Sep 22, 2018 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Legion
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 31 / 100
Legion 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Alliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion let in goals in 94% of their last 36 matches.

FC Alliance's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Legion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Legion
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 5.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

Legion

(Away)
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3
Legion
15 Aug
Legion
0 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)