Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ararat in this Esiliiga B 2014 tie, finishing 6-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Ararat
15%
Draws
34%
Raasiku Joker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • FC Ararat haven't matched Raasiku Joker's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Raasiku Joker arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Raasiku Joker, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Raasiku Joker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat Raasiku Joker
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.53 2.14
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
2:2
Sep 1, 2015 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs FC Ararat
3:2
May 23, 2015 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs FC Ararat
1:4
Apr 26, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
0:3
Nov 22, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Raasiku Joker
6:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat 34 / 100
Raasiku Joker 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat Raasiku Joker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raasiku Joker Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Raasiku Joker conceded in 86% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

FC Ararat scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: FC Ararat remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat VS Raasiku Joker
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.17 Goals Conceded 3.63
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat

(Home)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Raasiku Joker

(Away)
12 Aug
Elva
:
Raasiku Joker
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
20 Aug
Raasiku Joker
1 : 4
Nomme Utd
27 Jul
Tallinna Wolves
3 : 4
Raasiku Joker
25 Jul
Raasiku Joker
4 : 5
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Raasiku Joker 7
FC Ararat 7