Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Astana 2 vs Arys

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kaltanov A.
Assist: Akhmetov A.
30' Event
Zheksenbek A.
Assist: Tokenov T.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Arys finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Astana 2
20%
Draws
47%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arys's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Arys Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Arys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.7 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Arys
2:0
Apr 30, 2026 First League
Arys vs FC Astana 2
3:1
Sep 1, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Arys
3:0
May 20, 2023 First League
Arys vs FC Astana 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zheksenbek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Arys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 22 / 100
Arys 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

FC Astana 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Astana 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Arys
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

Arys

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)