Sport Picks
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
Indonesia
Super League Sumpah Pemuda, Bandar Lampung 
Match Events
5'
5'
Wehrmann J.
Assist: Iran Junior
17'
17'
Sub
Iran Junior In: Sasongko N.
Out: Iran Junior
28'
28'
Sasongko N.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between FC Bhayangkara and Madura United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Bhayangkara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Bhayangkara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Bhayangkara come out ahead of Madura United on wins alone.
- Model gives FC Bhayangkara a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 14%
Madura United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Bhayangkara | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Mar 1, 2024 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
3:2
Aug 25, 2023 Super League
Madura United vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Feb 20, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Bhayangkara Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsumura R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doumbia B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Wehrmann J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Bhayangkara 39 / 100
Madura United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Bhayangkara Madura United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Bhayangkara found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Madura United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: FC Bhayangkara remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Bhayangkara VS Madura United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Bhayangkara
(Home) 23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4 Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4 Persib Bandung
17 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 2 Persija Jakarta
Page 1 of 3
Madura United
(Away) 23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0 Bali United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 6
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
17 Apr
Persebaya
1 : 2 Madura United
07 Mar
Persita
4 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
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