Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Maritimo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD B play Deportivo Maritimo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Cartagena SAD B averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Deportivo Maritimo averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cartagena SAD B won 2, Deportivo Maritimo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for FC Cartagena SAD B and 0.75 for Deportivo Maritimo. This points to a Deportivo Maritimo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

FC Cartagena SAD B

28%

Draws

36%

Deportivo Maritimo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

FC Cartagena SAD B picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Maritimo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 27%

Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cartagena SAD B	Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	10	8
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.07	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Cartagena SAD B vs Deportivo Maritimo

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Maritimo vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Cartagena SAD B vs Deportivo Maritimo

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Deportivo Maritimo vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquerdo V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD B 38 / 100

Deportivo Maritimo 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cartagena SAD B Deportivo Maritimo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Maritimo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cartagena SAD B attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Maritimo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Maritimo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

FC Cartagena SAD B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Maritimo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 35

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	10	3	65:21	73
2	Real Murcia B	34	17	8	9	59:44	59
3	Molinense	34	17	8	9	46:34	59
4	Club Olimpico de Totana	34	15	13	6	44:27	58
5	Mazarron CF	34	14	14	6	50:33	56
6	UCAM Murcia B	34	13	16	5	55:37	55
7	Aguilas FC B	34	14	10	10	47:42	52
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	11	10	30:29	50
9	Santa Cruz	34	14	6	14	35:37	48
10	Minerva	34	11	11	12	28:39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	8	16	10	39:36	40
12	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	11	14	40:39	38
13	Deportivo Maritimo	34	9	9	16	38:46	36
14	E.G. El Palmar	34	8	8	18	27:48	32
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38:64	32
16	Caravaca	34	6	13	15	33:44	31
17	Muleno CF	34	6	13	15	33:58	31
18	Yeclano B	34	6	9	19	25:54	27