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FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Dynamo Moscow W

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women Chertanovo Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chertanovo Moscow W play Dynamo Moscow W in the Supreme Division Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Chertanovo Moscow W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Dynamo Moscow W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, FC Chertanovo Moscow W won 1, Dynamo Moscow W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for FC Chertanovo Moscow W and 1.25 for Dynamo Moscow W. This points to a Dynamo Moscow W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
17%
Draws
46%
Dynamo Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dynamo Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow W picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Moscow W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W Clean Sheet 19%
Dynamo Moscow W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow W Dynamo Moscow W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Dynamo Moscow W
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Dynamo Moscow W
2:0
May 3, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Dynamo Moscow W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Dynamo Moscow W
0:2
May 4, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Dynamo Moscow W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dynamo Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Myasnikova Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow W 37 / 100
Dynamo Moscow W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow W Dynamo Moscow W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dynamo Moscow W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Chertanovo Moscow W attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Moscow W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Dynamo Moscow W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Chertanovo Moscow W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Moscow W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 43
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75