Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Cienfuegos and FC Holguin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Holguin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Cienfuegos
6%
Draws
4%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cienfuegos come out ahead of FC Holguin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
1:1
Jun 17, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
3:2
Jun 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Holguin
0:2
May 13, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Cienfuegos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 85 / 100
FC Holguin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cienfuegos FC Holguin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

FC Cienfuegos scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

FC Holguin has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: FC Cienfuegos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS FC Holguin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cienfuegos

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
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FC Holguin

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
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