Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Cienfuegos and FC Villa Clara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Cienfuegos
30%
Draws
34%
FC Villa Clara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cienfuegos come out ahead of FC Villa Clara on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cienfuegos FC Villa Clara
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 36 / 100
FC Villa Clara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cienfuegos FC Villa Clara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cienfuegos scored in 76% of their last 41 games.

FC Villa Clara let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Cienfuegos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS FC Villa Clara
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cienfuegos

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 9

FC Villa Clara

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)