Sport Picks

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FC Cincinnati vs Burnley

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Denkey K.
30' Event
Laurent J.
46'
Sub
Celentano R. In: Louro E.
Out: Celentano R.

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cincinnati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Cincinnati
35%
Draws
32%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Burnley haven't matched FC Cincinnati's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 14%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati Burnley
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Burnley
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkey K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jabbari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Laurent J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 35 / 100
Burnley 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Burnley let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Cincinnati remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS Burnley
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
22 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
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Burnley

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
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