Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Musa P.
Assist: Urhoghide O.
15'
15'
Mihailovic D.
Assist: Osorio J.
21'
21'
Henry M.
AI Match Summary
FC Dallas in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Dallas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Dallas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Dallas have won more games recently than Toronto FC.
- Model gives FC Dallas a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 20%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Dallas | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC
3:2
May 4, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas
3:1
Feb 26, 2022 MLS
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC
1:1
Jun 23, 2019 MLS
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC
3:0
May 26, 2018 MLS
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Dallas Compare
Top Goalscorer Musa P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Farrington L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Toronto FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mihailovic D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Etienne D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Dallas 58 / 100
Toronto FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Dallas Toronto FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Dallas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Toronto FC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: FC Dallas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Dallas VS Toronto FC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Dallas
(Home) 23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 FC Dallas
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2 FC Dallas
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3 FC Dallas
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
10 May
FC Dallas
3 : 1 Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
10 May
FC Dallas
3 : 1 Real Salt Lake
23 Apr
FC Dallas
0 : 1 Minnesota United
19 Apr
FC Dallas
2 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
12 Apr
FC Dallas
1 : 1 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 3
Toronto FC
(Away) 22 Jul
New England Revolution
0 : 0 Toronto FC
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0 Toronto FC
24 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 Toronto FC
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 Toronto FC
09 May
Toronto FC
2 : 4 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
New England Revolution
0 : 0 Toronto FC
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0 Toronto FC
24 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 Toronto FC
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 Toronto FC
08 Mar
FC Cincinnati
0 : 1 Toronto FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)