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FC Derby vs Boavista

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2015
Sun, Jun 28, 2015
3 - 1
04:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with FC Derby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Derby
15%
Draws
48%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Derby come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on FC Derby taking it.
  • FC Derby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Derby, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby Boavista
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Boavista
3:1
Jun 20, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista vs FC Derby
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 40 / 100
Boavista 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Derby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Derby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Boavista conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

FC Derby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS Boavista
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
28 Jun
FC Derby
3 : 1
Boavista
20 Jun
Boavista
2 : 1
FC Derby
06 Jun
Boavista
0 : 1
Mindelense
30 May
Boavista
5 : 1
Ultramarina
23 May
Boavista
4 : 2
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Boavista 3
FC Derby 4
Paulense 1
Mindelense 2
Final
FC Derby 2
Mindelense 3