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FC Derby vs SC Atletico

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2016 game between FC Derby and SC Atletico finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC Derby
30%
Draws
16%
SC Atletico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Derby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Derby's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 20%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby SC Atletico
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs SC Atletico
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 85 / 100
SC Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby SC Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Derby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Atletico conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Derby scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FC Derby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS SC Atletico
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
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SC Atletico

(Away)
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
SC Atletico
31 May
SC Atletico
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
23 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
SC Atletico
10 May
SC Atletico
1 : 2
SC Africa Show
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Derby 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 GD Varandinha 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Desportivo Praia 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
4 Sporting da Brava 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 SC Atletico 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Sinagoga 5 0 2 3 4:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Academico 83 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
5 Sport Sal-Rei 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
6 Vulcanico 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)