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Stadium Background

FC Felgueiras vs AFS

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Franca F.
46'
Sub
Martins H. In: Landinho
Out: Martins H.
46'
Rivas M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Felgueiras
30%
Draws
37%
AFS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Felgueiras lately — more wins on the board than AFS.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 20%
AFS Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras AFS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs AFS
1:1
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
AFS vs FC Felgueiras
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventura
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

AFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 32 / 100
AFS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras AFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Felgueiras's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Felgueiras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS AFS
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

(Home)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

AFS

(Away)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
6 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
7 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
9 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
10 SC Farense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)