Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023

Mondinense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Felgueiras play Mondinense in the Taça de Portugal 2022/2023. FC Felgueiras are favorites here. Recently, FC Felgueiras averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Mondinense averaged 0.65 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, FC Felgueiras won 4, Mondinense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 11, 2022 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for FC Felgueiras and 1.06 for Mondinense. This points to a FC Felgueiras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

FC Felgueiras

21%

Draws

13%

Mondinense

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FC Felgueiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Felgueiras picked up more points recently compared to Mondinense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 22%

Mondinense Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Felgueiras	Mondinense
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	11	2
Draws	10	2
Losses	10	22
Goals Scored	1.13	0.65
Goals Conceded	1.1	2.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Taça de Portugal

FC Felgueiras vs Mondinense

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

5:2

Jan 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Mondinense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Oct 4, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Felgueiras vs Mondinense

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Mondinense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Mar 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Felgueiras vs Mondinense

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 64 / 100

Mondinense 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Felgueiras Mondinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Felgueiras Win (1)

Secondary Pick FC Felgueiras & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Felgueiras attacking → ← attacking Mondinense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Felgueiras scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Mondinense let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FC Felgueiras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mondinense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 8

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00