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FC Felgueiras vs Portimonense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Duarte L.
Assist: Pereira G.
41' Event
Junior Welinton
(Penalty)
45'
Michel Costa

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Felgueiras
6%
Draws
4%
Portimonense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Felgueiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Felgueiras lately — more wins on the board than Portimonense.
  • Win probability leans FC Felgueiras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 68%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras Portimonense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Portimonense
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs FC Felgueiras
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs FC Felgueiras
3:2
Aug 12, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs Portimonense
0:0
Feb 19, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs FC Felgueiras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Felgueiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portimonense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 95 / 100
Portimonense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras Portimonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

FC Felgueiras scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Felgueiras has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS Portimonense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934