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FC Gardabani vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mumladze T.
35' Event
Mumladze T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between FC Gardabani and Borjomi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Gardabani
15%
Draws
21%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gardabani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Borjomi's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what FC Gardabani have produced (0.91).
  • Win probability leans Borjomi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Borjomi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.91 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.65 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Borjomi
0:2
May 1, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Gardabani
1:2
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Borjomi
4:1
May 1, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Gardabani
3:1
Nov 13, 2018 Liga 3
Borjomi vs FC Gardabani
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Borjomi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mumladze T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 16 / 100
Borjomi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borjomi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Borjomi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Gardabani's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)