Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gera 03 vs Gotha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 Stadion der Freundschaft, Gera
Sat, Mar 10, 2012
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gera 03 host Gotha in the Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FC Gera 03 have averaged 0.81 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Gotha's 1 scored and 2.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Gotha slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.05) point toward Gotha. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Gera 03
15%
Draws
0%
Gotha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gera 03

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gotha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FC Gera 03 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 20%
Gotha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Gotha
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Gotha
0:0
Sep 17, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs FC Gera 03
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 85 / 100
Gotha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Gotha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gotha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Gotha's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Gera 03 scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gotha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
Page 1 of 4

Gotha

(Away)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)