Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gera 03 vs Piesteritz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 Stadion der Freundschaft, Gera
Sat, May 19, 2012
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gera 03 host Piesteritz in the Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Piesteritz have shipped 2.3 goals a game lately, while FC Gera 03 have conceded 2.88 and scored 0.81. Past meetings favor FC Gera 03 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2012, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.11) back Piesteritz to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Gera 03
15%
Draws
0%
Piesteritz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gera 03

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Piesteritz come out ahead of FC Gera 03 on wins alone.
  • FC Gera 03 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 20%
Piesteritz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Piesteritz
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.81 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Piesteritz
0:0
Dec 3, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs FC Gera 03
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 85 / 100
Piesteritz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Piesteritz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piesteritz has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Piesteritz registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

FC Gera 03 scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piesteritz
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
Page 1 of 4

Piesteritz

(Away)
10 Jan
Halberstadt
6 : 2
Piesteritz
08 Jun
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 1
Piesteritz
01 Jun
Piesteritz
0 : 4
Markranstadt
25 May
Sandersdorf
2 : 1
Piesteritz
18 May
Piesteritz
2 : 4
Aue II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)