Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Guantanamo in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Guantanamo
33%
Draws
27%
Las Tunas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Guantanamo lately — more wins on the board than Las Tunas.
  • Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo Las Tunas
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 20 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:2
Nov 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 40 / 100
Las Tunas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo Las Tunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Guantanamo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: Las Tunas conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

FC Guantanamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS Las Tunas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122