Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FC Guantanamo in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Guantanamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Guantanamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Guantanamo lately — more wins on the board than Las Tunas.
- Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 17%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Guantanamo | Las Tunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:2
Nov 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs Las Tunas
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Guantanamo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Guantanamo 39 / 100
Las Tunas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Guantanamo Las Tunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Guantanamo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Las Tunas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
FC Guantanamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Guantanamo VS Las Tunas
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Guantanamo
(Home) 12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1 FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6 FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3 FC Guantanamo
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12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1 FC La Habana
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2 CF Granma
12 Apr
FC Guantanamo
3 : 0 FC Holguin
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Las Tunas
(Away) 14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2 FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0 FC Ciego de Avila
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14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1 Las Tunas
19 Apr
FC Ciego de Avila
0 : 1 Las Tunas
22 Mar
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 1 Las Tunas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 19 |
| 2 | FC La Habana | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 17 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Artemisa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Villa Clara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Isla de La Juventud | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Pinar del Rio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 8 | Mayabeque Guines | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | FC Guantanamo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 4 | FC Camaguey | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 5 | CF Granma | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Ciego de Avila | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 8 | Las Tunas | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)
