Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- FC Holguin have won more games recently than FC Santiago de Cuba.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on FC Santiago de Cuba taking it.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 16%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Holguin | FC Santiago de Cuba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
3:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:4
May 20, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Holguin 23 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Holguin FC Santiago de Cuba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Santiago de Cuba conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
FC Holguin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
FC Holguin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Holguin VS FC Santiago de Cuba
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Holguin
(Home) 14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1 FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0 CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3 FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
Page 1 of 6
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0 CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3 FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
29 Mar
FC Holguin
2 : 0 CF Granma
22 Mar
FC Holguin
1 : 0 FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 4
FC Santiago de Cuba
(Away) 09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1 FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0 CF Granma
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
12 Apr
CF Granma
2 : 3 FC Santiago de Cuba
29 Mar
FC Guantanamo
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
