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FC Jarfalla vs Dalkurd Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024
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Match Events

23' Event
Hedivi J.
27' Event
Magnus Gasser L.
36' Event
Strangborn F.

AI Match Summary

Dalkurd in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dalkurd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Jarfalla
20%
Draws
57%
Dalkurd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dalkurd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dalkurd haven't matched FC Jarfalla's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 15%
Dalkurd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Dalkurd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Dalkurd
2:4
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Dalkurd vs FC Jarfalla
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedivi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnus Gasser L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Dalkurd Compare

Top Goalscorer Strangborn F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Okafor K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 31 / 100
Dalkurd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Dalkurd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalkurd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: FC Jarfalla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
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Dalkurd

(Away)
19 Oct
Falu BS
2 : 1
Dalkurd
13 Oct
Dalkurd
1 : 0
Hudiksvall
05 Oct
Viggbyholms
1 : 2
Dalkurd
29 Sept
Dalkurd
3 : 2
Skiljebo
21 Sept
IK Franke
3 : 3
Dalkurd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Arlanda 26 20 4 2 74:26 64
2 Enkopings SK 26 16 5 5 66:34 53
3 Viggbyholms 26 12 7 7 43:26 43
4 Gute 26 12 5 9 51:35 41
5 FC Jarfalla 26 12 2 12 39:39 38
6 IK Franke 26 10 6 10 46:43 36
7 Falu BS 26 9 8 9 32:36 35
8 Farsta 26 9 8 9 41:46 35
9 Kungsangen 26 10 3 13 31:43 33
10 Osteraker IFK 26 9 4 13 32:47 31
11 Skiljebo 26 7 7 12 36:47 28
12 Sandvikens AIK 26 6 8 12 33:44 26
13 Hudiksvall 26 6 8 12 27:49 26
14 Dalkurd 26 4 5 17 32:68 17
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2024 (Relegation)