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FC Marisca Mersch vs Napredak

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Stanojlovic S.
60' Event
89' Event
Bojovic M.

AI Match Summary

Napredak in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napredak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Marisca Mersch
20%
Draws
30%
Napredak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Marisca Mersch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Marisca Mersch average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Napredak's 0.86.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 18%
Napredak Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Marisca Mersch Napredak
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Marisca Mersch vs Napredak
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Marisca Mersch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Napredak Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanojlovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bojovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Marisca Mersch 32 / 100
Napredak 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Marisca Mersch Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napredak has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

FC Marisca Mersch scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC Marisca Mersch has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Marisca Mersch VS Napredak
1.67 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 13%
67% Over 2.5 13%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Marisca Mersch

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2
Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0
FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
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Napredak

(Away)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
05 Sept
Napredak
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
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